Bhubaneswar: Even as a cyclonic storm is unlikely to form over the Bay of Bengal in the first half of October, Typhoon Kompasu in the South China Sea may lead to the formation of a fresh system over the bay during the second half of the month.
As per Skymet Weather Services, Typhoon Kompasu may travel across Philippines, Hainan, Vietnam, Laos and Thailand over the next 4 days. The remnants of the typhoon are likely to reach Bay of Bengal, cutting across Myanmar around October 16-17.
By then, the withdrawal of monsoon is likely to be complete paving way for its intensification, added Skymet.
The system will be named as Cyclone Jawad if it intensifies into a cyclonic storm.
As per the latest prediction of the India Meteorological Department (IMD), cyclonic storm over the Bay of Bengal may not form this week, contrary to the earlier predictions by the agency.
However, a Well Marked Low Pressure area may reach south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh coasts around October 15 and cause heavy rainfall in the areas.
“The cyclonic circulation over north Andaman Sea & neighbourhood extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level persists. As per the latest analysis, under the influence of this cyclonic circulation, a Low Pressure Area is likely to form over East Central Bay of Bengal & adjoining north Andaman sea around 13th October. It is likely to move west-northwestwards and reach south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh coasts as a Well Marked Low Pressure area around 15th October,” said the morning bulletin of the IMD issued today.
Earlier, it was forecasted that the system may intensify into a cyclonic storm and head towards south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh coasts.
On the other hand, southwest monsoon has withdrawn from Sundargarh, Jharsuguda, Deogarh, Sambalpur, Bargarh, Bolangir, Sonepur, Nuapada, Boudh, Kalahandi and Nabarangpur, most parts of Angul and Kandhamal, and some parts of Malkangiri, Koraput, Rayagada, Dhenkanal, Keonjhar and Mayurbhanj districts of Odisha as on October 12.