Cyclone Asani: Low Pressure forms over Andaman Sea
Bhubaneswar: Amid scare of possible cyclonic storm Asani, a low pressure formed today over the Andaman Sea two days after formation of a cyclonic circulation over the same region.
“Under influence of the cyclonic circulation over South Andaman Sea and neighbourhood, a low pressure area has formed over South Andaman Sea and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal. It is very likely to move northwestwards and intensify into a Depression during subsequent 48 hours,” informed the India Meteorological Department today.
The possible Depression may intensify further into Deep Depression on May 8, the IMD had informed yesterday.
Meanwhile, the possible Cyclone ‘Asani’ over the Bay of Bengal may become a very severe cyclonic storm, indicated IMD GFS model.
“IMD GFS is indicating the system to intensity up to very severe category storm,” the North Indian Ocean Extended Range Outlook for Cyclogenesis issued by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.
“Most of the deterministic models including IMD GFS, NCEP GFS, ECMWF, NCUM (R), NCUM (G), ECMWF, IMD WRF, IMD MME and probabilistic models including GEFS, NEPS, ECMWF ensemble are indicating likely cyclogenesis (formation of depression) over Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal around May 8. The MME CFS (V2) is indicating >80% probability of cyclogenesis over Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal,” the outlook said.
“However, there is large variation among various models with respect to intensification of the system. Most of the models are indicating the system to intensify up to a marginal cyclone. However, IMD GFS is indicating the system to intensity up to very severe category storm. Models are also unanimous about the northeastwards recurvature of the system,” it said.