Low pressure to form around Oct 10; Will Odisha see another cyclone?

Bhubaneswar: A Low Pressure Area is very likely to form over north Andaman Sea around October 10. It is likely to become more marked and move west-northwestwards towards south Odisha and north coastal Andhra Pradesh coast during subsequent 4-5 days, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said today.

As per IMD:GFS model, the system is likely to cross the coast around October 15 (see pic below).

On the other hand, the ECMWF model indicates that the system may approach Visakhapatnam-Kakinada coasts around October 15.

If the system intensifies into a cyclonic storm, it will be named as Cyclone Jawad.

Also read– Explained: Why And How Are Cyclones Named.

The IMD in its ‘North Indian Ocean Extended Range Outlook for Cyclogenesis’ issued on September 30 had forecasted formation of two low pressure areas over Bay of Bengal between October 8 and 14.

“Models are indicating development of a fresh low pressure area (LPA) during first half of week 2 (October 8-14) over west central and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal and another LPA over east central Bay of Bengal and adjoining north Andaman Sea during later part of week 2,” the IMD had said.

Worth mentioning, the 1999 Super Cyclone, Cyclone Phailin (2013), Cyclone Hudhud (2014) and Cyclone Titli (2018) occured in the month of October.