Remnant of Cyclone Gulab: ‘High’ chances of cyclogenesis over Arabian Sea

Bhubaneswar: The remnant of Cyclone Gulab is likely to emerge into Arabian Sea and intensify further from September 30, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasted.

As per the IMD, the probability of cyclogenesis (formation of depression) over Arabian Sea in the next 96-120 hours is ‘High’.

“The system is likely to emerge into northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Gujarat coast around 30th September and there is likelihood for the system to further intensify over northeast Arabian Sea during the subsequent 24 hours,” the IMD said in a bulletin.

On the other hand, a Low Pressure Area has formed over Northwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining coastal areas of West Bengal under the influence of a cyclonic circulation.

The system is likely to become more marked during the next 24 hours. Most of the numerical models are indicating that the low pressure area would move westwards without significant intensification, the IMD said.

The situation where a single system in the Northern Indian Ocean can create two cyclones is not unprecedented.

The IMD records show that the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) Gaja in November 2018 over the Bay of Bengal had crossed over Tamil Nadu coast as VSCS on November 15, 2018; weakened into a Depression over land and re-emerged as a Depression over South-East Arabian Sea on November 16, 2018 and then re-intensified into a Deep Depression over Arabian Sea on November 17, 2018 to become a well-marked LPA (WML) over the south-eastern Arabian Sea on November 19 that year.

“In case of re-intensification of the remnant, a new name is given to the system, IMD said.

While it is not rare to have cyclones or cyclonic storms in September — India has two seasons for cyclones, pre-monsoon (March to May) and post-monsoon (October to December) — it is not even that common, a scientist of the IMD said.

(With IANS inputs)

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