Bhubaneswar: Cyclone Jawad, which is likely to form over the central Bay of Bengal by December 3, may intensify into a very severe cyclonic storm before making landfall on south Odisha-north Andhra Pradesh coasts, indicated IMD-GFS model.
As per the forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD), after formation of the cyclonic storm over the central Bay of Bengal, the system is likely to move northwestwards, intensify further and reach north Andhra Pradesh–south Odisha coasts around the morning of December 4.
“A low pressure lay over south Thailand & neighbourhood at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 30th November 2021. It is likely to emerge into Andaman Sea during next 12 hours. Thereafter it is likely to move west-northwestwards and concentrate into a Depression over southeast & adjoining east-central Bay of Bengal by 2nd December and intensify into a Cyclonic Storm over central parts of the Bay of Bengal during the subsequent 24 hours. Subsequently, it is likely to move northwestwards, intensify further and reach north Andhra Pradesh–Odisha coasts around 4th December morning,” a bulletin of the IMD issued at 2 PM today said.
According to FDP (Cyclone) NOC Report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) dated November 29, the IMD-GFS model indicates formation of Cyclonic Storm (CS) at 1800 UTC (11:30 pm IST) of 30th November over south Andaman Sea, persistence over the same area on 1st December, its rapid intensification into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) over southeast & adjoining east central BoB on 2nd December, over east central & adjoining west central BoB on 3rd December, over west central BoB, very close to north Andhra Pradesh coast on 4th December, moving northeastwards, skirting north Andhra Pradesh coast and crossing south Odisha coast with very severe intensity around 0600 UTC (11:30 am IST) of 4th December.
The agency has also issued wind warning in this connection.
* Gale winds speed reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph likely to prevail over central Bay of Bengal from the early morning of 3rd December and gradually increase becoming 90-100 kmph gusting to 110 kmph over northwest & adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal from the morning of 4th December for the subsequent 24 hours.
* Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph likely to commence along & off North Andhra Pradesh–Odisha coast from the mid-night of 3rd December and increase gradually becoming 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph from 4th December Afternoon, for the subsequent 12 hours.
* Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph also likely to commence along & off West Bengal coast from 4th December morning and become Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph from the evening of 4th December for the subsequent 12 hours.